There are two important messages to concern in May. First, we expect to launch “planning the
revitalization of the new energy industry”, to clear the first goal of solar power installed capacity
(2020 to 10 million kW), and carriy out the implementation of the Internet access pricing, such as
supporting the implementation of policies. National Development and Reform Commission of energy has a
clear direction for future energy development: the development of thermal power limit; hydropower
steady growth; accelerate the development of nuclear power; to encourage the development of wind
power, solar power and other renewable energy sources.
Second, third SNEC (2009) International Photovoltaic Solar Energy Conference May 6-8 will be held in
Shanghai, there will be more than 700 photovoltaic enterprises at home and abroad, to display the
contents of the exhibition include: photovoltaic production equipment, materials, photovoltaic cells,
photovoltaic products and components, as well as engineering and photovoltaic systems.
Due to the high cost of photovoltaic power generation, the industry is subsidized by the countries of
the world policy-driven. Governments support the introduction of photovoltaic power generation policy,
the world’s photovoltaic industry to overcome the international financial crisis, the beginning of
warming, coupled with declining investment costs, so that greatly increased the attractiveness of
investment in solar energy. Over the past 10 years regardless of the global PV industry is the
production capacity or are over 40% of the compound growth rate of growth in 2008 global production of
photovoltaic cells for 6.4GW, an increase of 60%, and continued high growth over the years situation.
China has become the world’s largest producer of photovoltaic cells, the production of photovoltaic
cells to occupy the global production of around 40%. One of the world in 2008 before the 25 PV
enterprises in China accounted for 8, the total output of 1821MW, China Taiwan accounted for three,
the total output for the 723.5MW.
From the point of view of the installed capacity in 2008, the world’s installed photovoltaic cells
5600MW, up 134 percent. China’s installed capacity in 2008 is only 40MW, only 0.7%, one can see, the
Chinese market for the installation of photovoltaic cells to be activated, the market has great
potential.
Chinese version of the solar roof plan, the domestic photovoltaic industry to help power the coming of
spring. Introduced by the end of March the Ministry of Finance “on accelerating the application of
solar PV to implement the views of the construction” and so on, in 2009 as a result of subsidies in
principle as standard 20 yuan / Wp, PV power generation means that electricity costs can be reduced to
0.58 yuan / kWh, demand for domestic photovoltaic started. We expect that the subsidy program is only
the beginning, is expected to launch in May, “the revitalization of New Energy and Industrial
Planning,” is expected to further support the introduction of relevant policies.
Thin-film crystalline silicon photovoltaic cells and photovoltaic cells will be growth, compared the
cost advantages of thin-film battery more. Crystalline silicon cells cost-per-watt limit for 1.27 U.S.
dollars, while the thin-film battery limits cost-per-watt in the following one U.S. dollars. We
measured the current installed capacity of silicon cells cost 19 yuan / wp about the cost of thin film
solar cells installed in the 12 yuan / wp around. Both are expected to grow, to increase the share of
thin-film batteries. The short term the demand for thin-film batteries to focus on areas with low land
cost BIPV, and still is the mainstream crystalline silicon, thin-film batteries will increase the
share, as the film base of a small battery, and low cost advantages, will usher in its rapid growth,
high growth in crystalline silicon cells.
Warmer in accordance with the demand for solar energy industry, all sectors benefit from the different
levels of priority, we recommend high-end thin-film battery manufacturers and component suppliers,
followed by crystalline silicon cells or the integration of downstream manufacturers, is once again
the upper reaches of polysilicon crystalline silicon cells.
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